QUALIFICATION SCENARIOS
Follow UsRoyal Challengers Bengaluru have moved to No.5 on the Indian Premier League 2024 points table after their 47-run win over Delhi Capitals on May 12 (Sunday). RCB now have a serious chance of qualifying for the playoffs, but so do Chennai Super Kings and Lucknow Super Giants. Despite the loss, the Capitals also have a slim chance of progressing further.
So, let's look at the qualification scenarios for all the aforementioned teams.
Royal Challengers Bengaluru
Points accumulated – 12
Remaining fixtures – Chennai Super Kings (H)
Maximum points they can get to - 14
Current Net Run Rate - +0.387
Scenarios to qualify:
> RCB will face Chennai on May 18. CSK have a better NRR (+0.528) compared to RCB (+0.387), meaning the Bengaluru franchise will have to win the game with a big margin of to surpass CSK's NRR.
> Before Saturday’s game, RCB will also need a few other results to go in their favor:
a) Lucknow must lose at least one of the remaining two games
b) Delhi must either lose or win with a small margin against Lucknow on May 14, so that their NRR (-0.482) stays below RCB's.
Chennai Super Kings
Points accumulated – 14
Maximum points they can get to: 16
Remaining fixtures – Royal Challengers Bengaluru (A)
Current Net Run Rate: +0.528 (2nd best NRR in IPL 2024)
Scenarios to qualify:
CSK have one more match remaining and have the best chance of finishing fourth. All they have to do is beat RCB and they will most probably progress because of their superior NRR.
They will have an issue only if Lucknow win their remaining two games against Delhi and Mumbai with good margins and go above CSK's NRR. Notably, CSK can also qualify even if they lose to RCB. They will have to make sure the margin of defeat isn't too big. But for that, they will also need LSG to lose one of their remaining two matches, preferably against MI.
Delhi Capitals
Points accumulated – 12
Maximum points they can get to: 14
Remaining fixtures – Lucknow Super Giants (H)
Current Net Run Rate: -0.482
Scenarios to qualify:
Delhi Capitals have made their qualification chances slim after losing to RCB. In order to qualify, a few results need to fall in their favor. The results should be as follows:
> Delhi will need beat Lucknow with a massive margin as they have a very bad NRR compared to CSK and RCB. Apart from winning, they would also want Lucknow to lose their final game against Mumbai Indians.
> If they win their final game against Lucknow with a massive margin and go past both Bengaluru and Chennai's NRR, they would want the winner of the RCB and CSK game to not win by a big margin.
Lucknow Super Giants
Points accumulated – 12
Maximum points they can get to: 16
Remaining fixtures – Delhi Capitals (A), vs Mumbai Indians (A)
Current Net Run Rate: -0.769
Scenarios to qualify:
> Lucknow must win the remaining two games in order to reach 16 points and strengthen their chances of qualification.
> Just winning both their games won't be enough. LSG must also win these two games by huge margins as they have the second-worst NRR (-0.769).
> If they successfully win their remaining two games, they would want CSK to lose their last match against RCB so that they won’t reach 16 points and steal their spot due to superior NRR.
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